Are We in a Bull Market Yet? | Morgan Stanley (2024)

Index Definitions

S&P 500 Index: The Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 Index tracks the performance of 500 widely held, large-capitalization US stocks.

Risk Considerations

Equity securities may fluctuate in response to news on companies, industries, market conditions and general economic environment.

The value of fixed income securities will fluctuate and, upon a sale, may be worth more or less than their original cost or maturity value. Bonds are subject to interest rate risk, call risk, reinvestment risk, liquidity risk, and credit risk of the issuer.

High yield bonds (bonds rated below investment grade) may have speculative characteristics and present significant risks beyond those of other securities, including greater credit risk, price volatility, and limited liquidity in the secondary market. High yield bonds should comprise only a limited portion of a balanced portfolio.

Companies paying dividends can reduce or cut payouts at any time.

Asset allocation and diversification do not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining financial markets.

Investing in small- to medium-sized companies entails special risks, such as limited product lines, markets and financial resources, and greater volatility than securities of larger, more established companies.

Because of their narrow focus, sector investments tend to be more volatile than investments that diversify across many sectors and companies. Technology stocks may be especially volatile. Risks applicable to companies in the energy and natural resources sectors include commodity pricing risk, supply and demand risk, depletion risk and exploration risk. Health care sector stocks are subject to government regulation, as well as government approval of products and services, which can significantly impact price and availability, and which can also be significantly affected by rapid obsolescence and patent expirations.

The indices are unmanaged. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. They are shown for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific investment.

The indices selected by Morgan Stanley Wealth Management to measure performance are representative of broad asset classes. Morgan Stanley Wealth Management retains the right to change representative indices at any time.

Disclosures

Morgan Stanley Wealth Management is the trade name of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, a registered broker-dealer in the United States. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, its affiliates and Morgan Stanley Financial Advisors do not provide legal or tax advice. Each client should always consult his/her personal tax and/or legal advisor for information concerning his/her individual situation and to learn about any potential tax or other implications that may result from acting on a particular recommendation.

This material, or any portion thereof, may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC.

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Are We in a Bull Market Yet? | Morgan Stanley (2024)

FAQs

Are We in a Bull Market Yet? | Morgan Stanley? ›

Key Takeaways. Potential economic obstacles in 2024 could delay the start of a sustained bull market, but investors can still find opportunities. Consider staying cautious on U.S. stocks while shifting to bonds for potential income and capital gains.

Are we in a bull market right now? ›

This month we are examining how the current bull market, which began in October 2022, compares to past bull markets (defined as at least a 30% rally off previous lows). Using the daily closing price of the lows reached in October 2022, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has rallied 33% in 17 months.

Is 2024 a bear or bull market? ›

Economic growth actually accelerated above its 10-year average in 2023. That resilience, coupled with a fascination about artificial intelligence (AI), changed investors' collective mood. The S&P 500 soared throughout the year and finally reached a new high in January 2024, making the new bull market official.

Have we entered a new bull market? ›

With stock indexes at all-time highs, it seems we are in the midst of a new bull market. While much of the market's recent gains have come from a handful of stocks, the rally has begun to broaden in recent months. Expectations of an earnings rebound in 2024 suggest earnings could continue to drive the market higher.

Is Morgan Stanley a good buy right now? ›

Is Morgan Stanley stock a Buy, Sell or Hold? Morgan Stanley stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is and is based on 51 buy ratings, 26 hold ratings, and 4 sell ratings.

Is the US currently in a bull or bear market? ›

The current bull market started in October 2022, when the S&P 500 reached its most recent low. Since then, the index has swelled about 35 percent.

What is the stock market prediction for 2024? ›

The consensus 12-month analyst price target for the S&P 500 is 5,614, representing about 6.8% upside from current levels.

Is 2024 a bullish year? ›

After a spectacular 2023, stocks are off to the races again in 2024. YTD, the Dow is up 2.72%, the S&P is up 7.28%, and the Nasdaq is up 6.41%. (And that's on top of last year's 13.7%, 24.2%, and 43.4% respectively.) And the outlook is for another fantastic year.

How many years will bear market last? ›

These charts of bear and bull markets in the S&P 500 since 1932 illustrate this well—there have 12 bear markets compared to 14 bull markets, but the duration of the bear markets is much, much shorter: The bear markets are just 25 months (around 2 years) long in average, compared to an average length of 59 months ( ...

How long do bull markets typically last? ›

3. How long the average bull market lasts. As much as investors would like the answer to this question to be "forever," bull markets tend to run for just under four years. The average bull market duration, since 1932, is 3.8 years, according to market research firm InvesTech Research.

When was the last US bull market? ›

S&P 500 Bull Markets 1957 to 2022
Bull Market PeriodDurationTotal S&P 500 Return
October 2002 to October 200760 months1.015
March 2009 to February 2020132 months4.005
March 2020 to January 202221 month1.144
October 2022 to present10 months0.248
8 more rows
Aug 23, 2023

Is this the end of the bull market? ›

This new bull market can last for another seven to nine years, as AI is expected to drive significant productivity gains for companies across the board, which will strengthen corporate earnings.”

When was the last bullrun? ›

The Last Bull Run: A Recap

The most recent significant bull run occurred in 2020 and extended into the early months of 2021. Cryptocurrencies, notably Bitcoin and Ethereum, experienced a surge in price, reaching unprecedented all-time highs.

Which is better JP Morgan or Morgan Stanley? ›

J.P. Morgan scored higher in 7 areas: Overall rating, Diversity and inclusion, Compensation & Benefits, Career opportunities, CEO approval, Recommend to a friend and Positive Business Outlook. Morgan Stanley scored higher in 2 areas: Culture and values and Work-life balance. Both tied in 1 area: Senior management.

Which is better, Goldman Sachs or Morgan Stanley? ›

Morgan Stanley scored higher in 7 areas: Overall Rating, Culture & Values, Work-life balance, Senior Management, CEO Approval, Recommend to a friend and Positive Business Outlook. Goldman Sachs scored higher in 2 areas: Compensation & Benefits and Career Opportunities. Both tied in 1 area: Diversity & Inclusion.

How financially stable is Morgan Stanley? ›

Fitch Ratings - New York - 30 Oct 2023: Fitch Ratings has affirmed Morgan Stanley's (MS) Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'A+' and its Short-Term IDR at 'F1'. The Rating Outlook is Stable.

How long will a bull run last? ›

Because prices of securities rise and fall essentially continuously during trading, the term "bull market" is typically reserved for extended periods in which a large portion of security prices are rising. Bull markets tend to last for months or even years.

How long would the bull market last? ›

3. How long the average bull market lasts. As much as investors would like the answer to this question to be "forever," bull markets tend to run for just under four years. The average bull market duration, since 1932, is 3.8 years, according to market research firm InvesTech Research.

Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

It can be nerve-wracking to watch your portfolio consistently drop during bear market periods. After all, nobody likes losing money; that goes against the whole purpose of investing. However, pulling your money out of the stock market during down periods can often do more harm than good in the long term.

At what age should you get out of the stock market? ›

There are no set ages to get into or to get out of the stock market. While older clients may want to reduce their investing risk as they age, this doesn't necessarily mean they should be totally out of the stock market.

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